Yankee Group: 2009 Global WiMAX Forecast: Poised for Portable Broadband Success

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2009 Global WiMAX Forecast: Poised for Portable Broadband Success

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2009 Global WiMAX Forecast: Poised for Portable Broadband Success

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Executive Summary
When mobile WiMAX was introduced in the 2004 time frame, it was positioned with the aim of disrupting the mobile market. The mobile industry has responded to the challenge by accelerating the development of 3G and advanced 3G technologies such as HSPA, HSPA+ and LTE. Contemporaneously, WiMAX has proven to be well-suited to portable broadband, particularly in emerging markets.
The success of WiMAX depends on a variety of factors, including its appropriate positioning relative to other fixed and mobile broadband technologies, the availability of suitable spectrum licenses, a robust technology ecosystem and confidence of the financial community. It is this variety of interdependent success factors that make it challenging to forecast the WiMAX market. While the lowest of any market watcher at the time, our forecast in 2006 was more optimistic than our current forecast and overestimated the number of subscribers in 2008 and 2009 for a variety of reasons (see the Yankee Group Report, “Modest WiMAX Market Grows Despite Uncertainty”). These include the collapse in the credit markets, slower-than-expected spectrum licensing and poor investment sentiment largely as a consequence of WiMAX being pitched against 3G and advanced 3G technologies like LTE.

Keywords

WiMAX, forecast, broadband, portable, HSPA, LTE

Pages
Publish Date & Author(s)

by Philip Marshall, Senior Research Fellow
9 pages
September 2009